Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...
David Spiegelhalter is emeritus professor of statistics at the University of Cambridge, UK. He is the author of The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (Penguin, 2024) ...
Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...