Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide to plot your own financial data.
America celebrated Independence Day with a bang in the stock market this week, as we witnessed record numbers yet again. This impressive performance coincided with a rally in the back end of the yield ...
Investors are demanding higher yields because they are getting worried about rising government debt.
The UST yield curve has been inverted, but there is speculation about when it will “un”invert and move out of negative territory. Short-term and long-term rates do not always move in the same ...
There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...
I want to start today by thanking Seeking Alpha for giving me the opportunity to be the first person interviewed for the new Seeking Alpha Interview series. It was a pleasure to do, and I enjoyed ...
I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...
The yield curve's uninversion historically signals the end of economic expansions and the onset of bear markets, though the timing can vary significantly. The uninversion occurs because the market ...
In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...
The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...
NEW YORK, July 29 (Reuters) - The longest and deepest U.S. Treasury yield curve inversion in history, a key bond market signal of an upcoming recession, could be nearing its end. While an inverted ...